First – a technicality. Money is for spending. Capital is for investing. Capital can only spent to purchase goods or services five years from today. Money is any currency you plan to spend within the next five years. Money includes provisions for emergencies. No, you do not know the amount you will spend on emergencies, but you will have unexpected expenses for which a healthy provision should be made. Do not become caught in down market (think March 2020) with need to liquidate assets.
Stocks are where I invest most of my capital. In a more typical market environment, I would allocate 15% of my portfolio to U.S. government securities. To gain exposure to the stock market I have long positions in individual company stocks; short positions in put option contracts for high quality businesses; long dated call option positions. To generate additional income from several businesses in our portfolio, I occasionally sell covered-call options.
My grandparents began a small dairy farm after Grandpa returned from Europe after suffering a hernia in World War II. Consistently investing the proceeds of their farm, they grew their farm from a handful of cows and 40 acres to over 100 milking cows and another 100 or more young stock while harvesting crops on over 500 acres. When they sold their herd in 1980, my grandparents became investors in the stock market and more significantly in the fixed income investment market. Grandma never sold her assets but she focused on income producing investments and reinvested the proceeds of her investments whenever her broker called with an idea she liked.
The most successful single equity investment Grandma made was a small Minnesota-based bank that was subsequently purchased Wells Fargo (WFC). The cost basis for my grandparents’ WFC was about $1 per share. We sold some of the WFC stake around $55 per share and the rest for about $45 – if memory serves. More notable: annual dividends were more than the cost basis.
My goal is to own companies that consistently grow their dividends to eventually earn more in annual dividends (per share) than our original cost basis per share; just like Grandma. To identify prospective companies I have subscriptions to investment newsletters (at the moment only from The Motley Fool, TMF) and I follow the Buy List published by Eddy Elfenbein; I read others, but Eddy and TMF are the two I trust with my capital; I also consider the target price provided by JP Morgan through my brokerage account.
From the recommendations from TMF and Eddy’s Buy List I have established a list of 18 companies core to our portfolio and all others are considered auxiliary positions. Two core positions (Berkshire Hathaway, 5.3%, and Amazon.com, 7.4%) can maintain up to ten percent of the overall portfolio but other core companies can appreciate to around 6-8% before I plan to trim their stakes; I plan to trim stakes in auxiliary companies that exceed five percent. In 2016, I bundled Visa, Mastercard, PayPal to add exposure to all three companies but at 2/3 ratio of normal positions.
At present, eighty percent of our portfolio is in companies’ stock; we have another 0.5% in long-dated call options contracts. Our cash position has fluctuated between 10-20% but fluctuates based on the number of short positions in put option contracts we hold.
When interest rates went to effectively zero, we sold all of our fixed income government securities to harvest the gains and use the capital in more productive investments. David Swensen, the famed Yale endowment manager, advised readers of his book, Unconventional Success, to avoid corporate bonds and we were rewarded for heeding that advice before the market stabilized this spring. Corporate bonds sold off while our government securities appreciated.
Short positions in put option contracts of intriguing businesses provide income while waiting for market prices to become more attractive. I usually look for contracts with strike prices 15% below the market and offer the option market a premium of at least 15% annualized (premium/strike price).
We use the long-dated option market to take speculative bets on interesting companies without established businesses or track records as public companies. I made a bit of money on Slack contracts earlier this year; we made roughly $1,000 on $585 invested in a Planatir contract held for just a few days; we lost money on a BlueBird Bio contract earlier this year; and we currently hold contracts for Hawaiian Holdings and Real Real (the later for a second time this year following a profitable position earlier).
Underlying all these tactics our strategy is to own strong businesses for many years. We’d love to buy a business and never sell it.